Friday, December 3, 2010

amazing statistic from the 9th District election

Todd Young got almost as many votes in 2010 (98%) as Mike Sodrel received in 2008.

Baron Hill got just more than HALF as many votes in 2010 (52.6%) than he did in 2008.

And if you're interested, Greg Knott got more votes in 2010 and than I did in 2008.

Recall that this was an off-year election when voting is much lower, but still...
the precipitous fall of Hill (and the Dems) was amazing...


At December 3, 2010 at 5:32 PM , Blogger Mike Kole said...

A comparison to 2006 returns would be more apples-to-apples, being the same cycle. I think that would reveal where both Republicans and Democrats turned out. I like to also compare the General Election votes cast to the Primary Election votes cast. It reveals where the independents went.

At December 3, 2010 at 5:34 PM , Blogger Eric Schansberg said...

Agreed, although it's not as wild of a comparison. Comparing 2010 to 2006, Hill dropped 15K and Young picked up 18K votes.

At December 3, 2010 at 6:30 PM , Blogger Mike Kole said...

Enough to change hands. So, in the analysis, is it that the independents shifted, or base excitement (and thus turnout) shifted?

At December 3, 2010 at 10:16 PM , Blogger Eric Schansberg said...

It was more about independents shifting.

I should also note that Greg beat my off-year election numbers by about 3K votes!


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