predictions on tonight
Predictions on larger races:
Todd Young by 4%;
Rand Paul by 12;
Hal Heiner by 5.
Most important/interesting local question of the evening:
Will Bob Isgrigg win as a Libertarian?
Thanks for coming! I plan to post a lot of interesting articles and comment on a wide range of things-- from political to religious, from private to public, from formal writing on public policy to snippets on random observations.
2 Comments:
I hope someone does a good post-mortem to explain why the Young/Hill margin was so big and why the predictions were so far off in that race.
I underestimated Young again!
One factor that got little play: geography-- that Young and Knott both had ties in Bloomington, where Hill has been amazingly strong in previous elections.
Knott outdid my results, focusing his efforts in Bloomington. I suspect that Young ate into Hill's base in Bloomington as well.
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