Tuesday, November 2, 2010

predictions on tonight

Predictions on larger races:
Todd Young by 4%;
Rand Paul by 12;
Hal Heiner by 5.

Most important/interesting local question of the evening:
Will Bob Isgrigg win as a Libertarian?

2 Comments:

At November 2, 2010 at 10:42 PM , Blogger William Lang said...

I hope someone does a good post-mortem to explain why the Young/Hill margin was so big and why the predictions were so far off in that race.

 
At November 2, 2010 at 10:45 PM , Blogger Eric Schansberg said...

I underestimated Young again!

One factor that got little play: geography-- that Young and Knott both had ties in Bloomington, where Hill has been amazingly strong in previous elections.

Knott outdid my results, focusing his efforts in Bloomington. I suspect that Young ate into Hill's base in Bloomington as well.

 

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