expected (and actual) performance in NCAA's (2012)

Here's how things turned out last year-- with the Big 10 and Big 12 as the biggest under-performers...

This year, given the seedings, here are the expected records by conference (and updated results as of 3/19-- the Sweet 16 and 3/26-- the Final Four and 4/3 the finals): 

Big East:    13-9*   11-5     14-8       14-9

Big Ten:     13-6      9-2      11-5       11-6

Big 12:       10-6      6-4       9-5        10-6

ACC:          9-5       5-3       6-5

SEC:           8-3       5-2       8-3        10-3

Mtn. West:  3-4       1-4    

Atlantic 10: 1-4       3-3      3-4

West Coast: 3-3*    1-3     

Mo. Valley:  2-2      1-2     

Pac 12:        1-2*     1-2    

C-USA:        1-2      0-2    

Metro Atl.:   0-2      0-2    

OH Valley:   1-1      1-1    

Other:          2-18*   8-17   8-18

* including "1st-round" wins for Lamar, WKU, California, and BYU