My op-ed in the C-J on international trade and trade restrictions...
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Our new president often expresses hostility toward international
trade. On this topic, he will find many allies in Congress. There are
winners and losers with trade—and trade restrictions. How can we make
sense of the relevant economics and politics?
It’s easy to
underestimate the value of international trade. Its benefits are
relatively subtle, while its costs are relatively obvious. Consumers
benefit from greater choice, higher quality and lower prices. But it’s
easy to take this for granted. Producers are well aware of their
competition—domestic and foreign. Workers worry about losing their jobs.
The flip side of the good news for consumers is tough news for
producers and workers—somewhere between keeping them on their toes and
driving them out of business.
In contrast, trade restrictions are
often politically attractive. Its benefits are relatively obvious, while
its costs are relatively subtle. When we limit foreign competition, all
of the above is reversed. Again, consumers are less likely to see the
cause and effect. But producers are keenly aware that business is easier
and jobs are more secure with fewer competitors.
Econ teachers
use various principles to explain these ideas. For example, you don’t
need a Ph.D. in economics to understand the value of competition and the
trouble with monopoly power—for consumers and markets.
The most
important of these principles is the practical and philosophical value
of voluntary, mutually beneficial trade. When we engage in trade, both
parties perceive that they benefit, enhancing their well-being and
increasing social wealth. Extending this principle across national
boundaries may be interesting, politically. But it does not change the
underlying economics.
Teachers also use three analogies to make these points.
First,
blockades are an attempt to prevent a country from importing goods
during a war. Likewise, trade sanctions are used to hurt countries by
limiting trade with them. When should we impose blockades or trade
sanctions on ourselves?
Second, boycotts are a
refusal to engage in what would otherwise be a mutually beneficial
trade. We want to impose a cost on a producer—for something they’ve done
that is unrelated to what they sell. To do this, we’re willing to
impose a cost on ourselves, moving from our top choice to a lesser
choice. Trade restrictions are like a self-imposed boycott. When should
we force American consumers to boycott international goods?
Third,
discrimination is a refusal to engage in otherwise-beneficial trade,
because I have a problem with someone—for example, their race or
religion. Discrimination harms the discriminator in material terms, but
they enjoy messing with the other party. Why would we want to mandate
discrimination against those in other countries and do harm to ourselves
and to them?
Sometimes, thought experiments can be helpful to
make the subtle more obvious. For example, if we imagine that a trade
restriction is good for our economy, then it should be good for a state
as well.
And if it’s good for a state, it should be good for a county.
And if it’s good for a county, it should be good for towns and
neighborhoods. Once we extend the policy far enough, its costs become
quite obvious.
My friend, David Norton takes this a step further
with this parable: A virtuous man would only eat food within ten feet of
living room recliner—cockroaches and the occasional mouse. He could sew
the mouse pelts into clothing and use their guts for thread. Why stop
at “Brexit”—the exit of Britain from Europe? Perhaps we should strive
for “LRexit”—where we each remove our Living Rooms from the global
economy. Conveniently, our Living Rooms already have walls to keep out
the Mexicans, Canadians, Chinese and other neighbors who want to take
our rodent-catching, pelt-sewing and mouse-cooking jobs. And surely, if
we allowed trade, outsiders would undercut our living room “markets” for
mouse—with chicken, fish, and vegetables.
One more parable from
Dr. Steven Landsburg: Imagine that an entrepreneur figures out how to
turn grain into inexpensive, high-quality cars. Grain goes into the
factory. Through a mysterious and efficient process, the entrepreneur is
able to pay good wages and produce a great product. Consumers cheer and
the country applauds the technological advance. But then, a journalist
discovers that the “technological advance” is international trade. The
entrepreneur has been selling the grain overseas, receiving cars in
return. When people hear this news, they are furious and ask legislators
to pass all sorts of restrictions on the entrepreneur.
The extension of mutually beneficial trade—whether domestic or
international—is equivalent to the winners and losers that occur with
technological advance. The president seems to misunderstand this basic
point. Will Congress go along with him, protecting certain jobs and
helping interest groups through bi-partisan crony capitalism—while
harming consumers, markets and the economy as a whole? Or will freedom
and wealth-creating international trade be allowed to grow?
D. Eric Schansberg is a professor of economics at Indiana University Southeast and an adjunct scholar for the Indiana Policy Review.
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